What is the next big investment opportunity? I am looking for a good resource metal since that is my specialty
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Well then, if metals are your specialty then you know that the value of the metal is dependent on it’s supply and demand. The supply being not only new metal but recycled and the demand being the uses for the metal. Then around that value, which is really based on future supply and future demand, is the speculation on the value. Hence some metals like gold are almost all volatility due to it’s low utilization, low production but high re-use and some metals like silver lost enormous amounts of usages as in film to the point where there are no more silver mines and silver are now only produced by recycling and by mining for other metals. However the basics for all metals is that unless there are changes in their supply and demand, they reflect the rate of inflation. Hardly an attractive investment opportunity to add volatility just to maybe have the rate of inflation. Indeed concrete is a better commodity to invest in as it’s demand increases when times are good and when times are really bad, governments tend to pour money into civil projects.
As to metals that may have a changing basis in demand, Thorium is basically a waste product right now but it actually has an energy density as high as Uranium and can be used in molten salt reactors far more safely, more efficiently and with less radioactive waste than solid core Uranium reactors. There is a massive potential in Thorium and China will be opening their molten salt reactor in 2020. However, such is the nature of Thorium that it’s value probably won’t go up by much, there’s just too much of it and we have tons of stored Thorium that could provide our energy needs for a very long time. Also a molten salt reactor just needs the fluoride thorium salts to be melted into the reactor, there is no need for the expensive specialized fuel rods that are only available from the manufacturer of the reactor which is essentially the inkjet cartridges of the nuclear reactor world so Thorium producers won’t benefit from an increase in demand, the benefits in this increase in demand will go to the utilities that have the funds to build the reactors. Note, nuclear reactors are financed by the reactor builders and are built at a loss to the reactor builders, they make their money selling the fuel rods so only the utilities that are cash rich enough or have enough political clout to lobby the government can build molten salt reactors but once they do, they can literally scoop up common rocks and melt them into the reactors for the Thorium. There will be a dramatic change in perception about Thorium uses but aside from a few well heeled utilities, it’s not clear on how to capitalize on it.
Some people argue that electric vehicles will prompt a demand for silver in batteries and fuel cells. But silver will have to fight the uphill battle of recovering from the loss of film and most of the new battery and fuel cell technology are about using lithium and about avoiding expensive catalysts like silver and platinum. Indeed, one of the most promising batteries is lithium and seawater, a combination that normally explodes but there’s new coatings that avoids the unwanted chemical reactions.
Just as gold, silver and platinum can be purchased for investment purposes, why can’t Uranium be purchased also. There are companies that will buy and store gold on your behalf so I assume this could be done with Uranium, even if the storage costs are more expensive due to the nature of it.
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Yeah, the New York Mercantile Exchange just arranged a 10-year agreement that will allow for the trade of on and off exchange uranium futures contracts. Before, it had to be a direct buy/sell, but looks like times are changing.
I want to buy gold or platinum and I want a long-term investment so what should I choose?
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Gold is a much more liquid investment than platinum. Platinum on the other had has some unique properties that could make it more in demand than gold. It is a catalyst. Its most popular use these days is in automobile catalytic converters and as such it is in high demand. Gold however is also in high demand but as a hedge against inflation. If inflation should not become a problem or if the US dollar should once again become a strong currency–fat chance of that happening–then the price of gold will likely abate.
I want to actually have it in my safe at home – not just in an ira or mutual fund. Is there a standard coin or grade which is easily bought and sold? I don’t care about rare coins or that kind of thing, I just want a hedge for my other investments.
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You can buy pampe suisse certified ingots. They come in 1 oz, 3.5 oz, and 10 0z sizes.
That is a reputable company. You call them, buy the gold, send them a wire-transfer, then they deliver your gold to you at your home or business. They are very easy to do business with, and they will buy the gold back from you, should you ever decide to sell it. This company also sells silver,platinum and palladium. I found that their premium was smaller than some of the other gold dealers online. I liked doing business with them very much, it was very easy. I only wish I could buy more!
Good luck!
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I was reading that platinum is a good investment because auto demand in China is high but pollution is a big problem, so they need platinum for catalytic converters. In order to gauge whether this is a good idea or not, I need to know how the platinum in a catalytic converter actually works. Would a manufacturer use more platinum/palladium than normal if there are stricter emissions standards? Does it somehow use up the platinum and need to be replaced more often if standards are stricter? Or is the whole idea wrong and a catalytic converter will use about the same amount regardless of standards? Not looking for a critique of the investment idea, just an explanation of how the platinum works and if it actually matters how strict emissions standards are. Thanks.
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To make the answer quick, it adds and extra atom of oxygen to the harmful pollutants that a engine puts out to make it more safe. A engine puts out CO, NO, HC, and other stuff. Then the cat makes it into CO2, NO2, HCO, etc. Platinum makes a great catalyst. It oxidizes and reducts. But it can produce hydrogen sulfide or ammonia. Thats why when some cars run the exhaust kind of smells like eggs. Other cats are made of Palladium(oxidizer) and Rhodium(reductor), just easier to use one element to do two things than use multiple elements to do the same job. Both types has it’s pros and cons.
